Sparse public polling recently, especially in less-competitive races, might lead to some surprises on Election Day.

We will provide data for use on MS NOW shows and websites, and build custom polling and election interactives for the midterms ...

Earlier this cycle, at the urging of President Donald Trump, the Republican-controlled legislatures in Texas and Florida took the rare step of redrawing their congressional maps in the middle of the ...

Throughout the 2026 primaries, progressive candidates have made headlines across the country, with little-known challengers toppling 30-year incumbents, deep-pocketed House members, and powerful ...

Multiple states are voting on measures affecting elections and voting in their states, some with the potential to dramatically alter how their residents pick their elected representatives. In Missouri ...

For decades, Republicans have built their congressional strength on support from rural voters, racking up huge margins in some of the most sparsely populated areas of the country. That advantage isn’t ...

Today, FiftyPlusOne released our new forecasting model for the U.S. House and Senate midterm elections. As of 6:00 AM Eastern on Monday, August 3, 2026, the model gives Democrats an 85% chance of ...

Two weeks ago, President Donald Trump stood in front of a crowd of supporters at a first-of-its-kind midterms convention and beseeched the American people to “pretend I’m on the ballot.” Updated ...

Last week, FiftyPlusOne launched our brand new congressional election forecast for the 2026 midterms. As of this morning, the forecast gives Democrats an 89 out of 100 chance of winning the majority ...

If it feels like every poll you’ve seen this year came from a Democratic campaign and showed a toss-up, you’re not imagining things. Democratic-aligned pollsters account for 56 percent of House polls ...